Seahawks Vs. Patriots: Game Odds, Preview

Super Bowl LX|Seahawks vs. Patriots: Game Odds, Preview & Best Options


One game left. Winner take all. The Seattle Seahawks will face off with the New England Patriots this Sunday in Super Bowl LX; live from Levi Stadium in Santa Clara, California


With this being the biggest video game of the year, there was no method I might cover this alone. Thankfully, our very own Danny Burke offered to help take on the weight and break down Super Bowl LX.


Excitement is in the air so let's jump right into the big game.


For extra information on choices, props, moneylines, and more for Super Bowl LX, take an appearance at our NFL Picks Page or our NFL Odds Page.


Game Information


Matchup Information


- Location: Levi Stadium; Santa Clara, California.
- Date: Sunday, February 8th, 2026
- Kickoff: 6:30 PM EST


Quarterback Matchup


- Seattle Seahawks: Sam Darnold (2025: 16-3|237.8 YPG|29 TD|14 INT).
- New England Patriots: Drake Maye (2025: 17-3|246.4 YPG|35 TD|10 INT)


Analysis & Breakdown


What's the Patriot Way? Winning video games, no matter how ugly it gets.


Last week's match with the Broncos was exactly that. It was cold, snowy and winds were blowing every which method. The video game saw less than 400 overall backyards in between the 2 teams, simply 17 overall points and a scoreless fourth quarter.


Drake Maye tossed for a season low 86 lawns, completed less than 50% of his passes, however he did run in the one and only Patriots goal. Against Houston, Maye tossed for 179 backyards, 3 touchdowns, 1 interception and he lost 2 fumbles.


In the postseason, Maye's played 3 video games and he's completing simply 55.8% of his passes, balancing 177.7 pass backyards per video game, with 4 touchdown passes and 5 total turnovers. It hasn't been quite, but that's why there's 2 sides of the football.


New England leads all playoff teams in challenger points permitted (8.7/ game), opponent backyards (208.7/ game), takeaways (8) and sacks (12.0 ). During the routine season, this defense ranks fourth in points allowed, 9th in pass backyards enabled and with Christian Gonzalez back on the field; among the most feared corners in the video game.


The Patriots are built to win awful, however their likewise constructed to win quite. Maye's been an MVP candidate for the majority of the year and he's simply in his very first year as the group's full time starter. This game's forming up to be one for the books and I could not be more fired up.


The Seahawks have actually been remarkable on both sides of the ball, however without this defense it's hard to picture a world in which they make it this far. The Hawks rank 1st in points permitted, 1st in opponent EPA/play (-0.113 ), 3rd in challenger rush lawns and 2nd in opponent yards per play. They've got the the fifth finest redzone defense, rank sixth in overall sacks and have actually required the fifth most turnovers.


Both their protection unit and defensive line have actually been graded in the leading five this year and the mastermind behind it all is Head Coach Mike Macdonald. In just his second year as a head coach, Macdonald's developed one of the most difficult defenses in the NFL and his protective playbook is deeper than some offending playbooks I have actually seen.


On the offensive side, it's been a Klint Kubiak masterclass. He's running this Seahawks offense to excellence and it's result in the NFL's 3rd best offense, balancing 28.4 points per game. The group ranks 8th in pass backyards, 10th in rush backyards and 3rd in lawns per play. The issue with Seattle's offense has actually been Sam Darnold's turnovers.


Darnold lead the league with 20 total turnovers, 14 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost. If not for his defense forcing 25 turnovers of their own, this Seahawks team may look really various. Darnold certainly looked like a top 10 QB this year but the turnover concerns are something to keep an eye on going into the big video game.


Varun's Best options


Mack Hollins o24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)|Lucky Rebel


Mack Hollins made his go back to the field recently and in spite of seeing simply 2 targets, he attracted both for 51 lawns in the freezing temperature levels of Denver, Colorado. Hollins has actually also cleared this line in 9 of his L11 games, balancing 5.3 targets and 50.8 getting lawns per video game.


Hollins and Maye have actually developed a connection that's been a heap of enjoyable to see and one that typically consists of use of the deep ball. He's seeing a typical depth of target of 13.3 yards/target, he hasn't dropped a single ball this season and he's getting a majority of his snaps out wide.


Maye finished the year top-10 in deep throw rate and Hollins sits second on the team in of 20+ lawns. The Seahawks are quiting nearly 70% of their getting production to outdoors large receivers this year and it's why this line just feels a bit low.


Byron Murphy II to Record a Sack (+170)|Lucky Rebel


Might sound a little unusual initially, but Byron Murphy II remains in his second year in the NFL and he's been fantastic. He's got 7.0 sacks on the year and despite not tape-recording a sack up until now in the postseason, he's been a crucial part of this protective line. Murphy leads the Seahawks in pass rush win rate up until now in the playoffs and he's had the ability to produce 7 pressures doing it; just no sacks.


Murphy's also using the ideal side of that defensive line, at the DT area. The Patriots have actually quit 5 sacks so far in the postseason and 67% of those sacks have come from the left side of that offensive line. During the routine season it was more of the exact same, of the 73% of sacks that might be credited to the offending line, 45% of that came from the left side; primarily from the interior.


The kid's due to record his first ever postseason sack and what better video game to do in.


Danny's Best choices


We've lastly made it to the big game. It's always a bittersweet sensation during the two-week lead-up to the Super Bowl, however ideally we remain in for a heck of a game. And of course, with it comes a myriad of betting opportunities.


I also took a couple of shots in the Super Bowl MVP market. You can click here for a more thorough breakdown of the gamers I'll be sweating to take home the award.


Kenneth Walker o20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)|Lucky Rebel


The very first bet I positioned was Kenneth Walker to review his 20.5 receiving yard line. Walker has actually played a meaningful function in the passing video game for much of the season, but we have actually seen a visible uptick because participation given that his backfield mate, Zach Charbonnet, went down with an injury in the NFC Divisional Round.


In that game, Sam Darnold targeted Walker three times. He caught all 3 passes and turned them into 29 backyards. In the NFC National Championship, Walker took all 4 of his targets for 49 lawns versus the Rams. He's directly taking advantage of consistent volume, and when Darnold feels pressure in the backfield - which he should, given the defensive technique we're likely to see from New England - he'll seek to examine the ball down to one of his top playmakers.


Walker has actually been excellent at developing space in the passing video game, and I anticipate more of the exact same in the Super Bowl. During the regular season, opposing running backs averaged over 30 getting yards on roughly 5 catches per game versus the Patriots. They have actually revealed vulnerability to backs through the air, which sets Walker up to make an effect because department.


Sam Darnold o2.5 Rushing Attempts (+115)|Lucky Rebel


Credit to our resident intern, Alex Bohling, for yelling this one out on one of our shows recently. The price is sitting as high as +115, which is appealing on its own, but the course to the over exists also.


While mobility isn't normally related to Darnold, we've seen him use his legs more regularly since late. He logged three carries in the AFC National championship, none in the Divisional Round blowout where rushing wasn't essential, and he closed the routine season on a five-game streak with a minimum of three hurrying efforts in each contest.


One crucial element here is the capacity for kneel-downs. I'm expecting the Seahawks to win this game, which unlocks for those late-game hurrying attempts to help push this prop over the number if Darnold does not arrive through scrambles earlier.


More From Danny


When it comes to the game in general, as I mentioned, I do think the Seahawks come out on top. That stated, the current enhancements from this New England defense provide me some pause when it comes to laying -4.5 with Seattle preflop.


I'm not entirely convinced the Patriots defense is as dominant as it's examined the past month, or if that's just been a by-product of their competitors. New England played the league's simplest schedule during the regular season and graded out as more of an average defense overall, but they've shown an obvious uptick in the postseason - especially in the red zone.


However, the Seahawks are the more complete group, and I still expect them to end up on top. Rather than laying the number pregame, I'll be aiming to attack Seattle live and hopefully grab a better number than -4.5.


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