Valspar Championship 2026 Betting Preview, Odds And Picks: Betting On Brooks

The PGA Tour covers up the Florida swing today with the Valspar Championship, as players make one last stop before shifting focus towards Texas and, ultimately, the Masters.


At Innisbrook's Copperhead Course, the field will face one of the tougher and more unique tests on the schedule.


Let's break down the chances, course setup and best options for today's Valspar Championship.


Valspar Championship 2026 Odds


Xander Schauffele (+1100 )
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1400 )
Viktor Hovland (+1800 )
Akshay Bhatia (+2200 )
Jacob Bridgeman (+2200 )
Justin Thomas (+2200 )
Brooks Koepka (+2500 )
Jordan Spieth (+2500 )
Patrick Cantlay (+2500 )
Corey Conners (+3000 )
Ryo Hisatsune (+3000 )
J.J. Spaun (+3500 )
Sahith Theegala (+3500 )
Austin Smotherman (+4000 )
Ben Griffin (+4000 )
Nicolai Hojgaard (+4000 )
Nick Taylor (+5500 )
Aaron Rai (+6000 )


Copperhead Course: What to Know


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course|Palm, Harbor, Florida
Par: 71
Yardage: 7,352
Greens: Poa Trivialis (16th tiniest on Tour).
Fairways: Overseeded Ryegrass (4th narrowest).
Rough: Overseeded Ryegrass (4 inches).
Bunkers: 74.
Water in Play: 6


Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club has four courses on residential or commercial property, however Copperhead is the one that's hosted this event considering that it debuted on Tour back in 2000.


It's one of the more underrated stops on the schedule and a design gamers tend to delight in using. You're not getting your normal Florida setup here either. Instead of large fairways and flat terrain, Copperhead features narrow, pine tree-lined corridors, plenty of tight doglegs and some visible elevation modifications throughout. It resembles TPC Sawgrass where placing matters more than just battle it off the tee.


Because of that, players are forced to club down off the tee, which moves the advantage away from distance and towards technique play.


Copperhead isn't a conventional par 71 either. It features five par 3s, all 195 yards or longer, and they rank as the set of par 3s on Tour. The 4 par fives are far from easy too, grading out as the 4th hardest group regardless of being the finest opportunities for birdies.


It's also very much a second-shot course. Around 53% of approach shots come from beyond 175 yards, with players hitting into small, firm greens that are difficult to hold. That's a big reason greens in regulation sit around just 57%, one of the most affordable marks on Tour.


You're going to need to be dialed in with your irons to develop possibilities.


And with driver used on hardly half of tee shots, there isn't much separation off the tee. Strokes gained off the tee hasn't been an essential sign of success here, which puts a lot more pressure on technique play and the short game.


With greens missed as typically as they are, being able to gain strokes around the green ends up being a big benefit when it pertains to saving par and preventing mistakes.


Include one of the toughest closing stretches on Tour with the Snake Pit, and this becomes more about limiting errors and playing what's thought about boring golf.


Approach play is the most significant concern this week, particularly at similar tough scoring courses. With so many shots coming from 175 yards and out into small, firm greens, I'm greatly weighting SG: APP and distance from distance.


From there, I'm concentrating on gamers who can manage a grind. That implies looking at bogey avoidance, scrambling and SG: ARG, together with good drive percentage to remain in position. I'm also factoring in par 3 and par 5 scoring, putting divides on Poa surfaces and total performance in tough scoring conditions.


Valspar Championship Picks


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 )


It was a rocky start to Brooks Koepka's go back to the Tour, finishing T-56 at the Farmers Insurance Open and after that missing the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, however it didn't take long for him to recuperate.


Koepka reacted with a T-9 at the Cognizant Classic and followed that up with a T-13 surface last week at THE PLAYERS.


This season, among this field, Koepka ranks 2nd in SG: APP. Over the previous couple of years at courses with hard scoring conditions, he's 21st because metric, and when you match that with strong greens in guideline numbers and his distance from 175+ yards, it's exactly what you want at a course like this.


He's likewise 23rd in SG: ARG over his last 36 rounds, which reveals that even if his irons aren't called, he can still make up for it around the green.


This field uses a fantastic chance for a star gamer to shine.


J.J. Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )


I went back and forth on whether to pull the trigger on J.J. Spaun this week. It hasn't been a fantastic start to the year, with his best finish coming recently at THE PLAYERS (T-24), but he's appearing a big method my model, ranking fourth overall.


He's first in SG: TOT in similar scoring conditions, third in GIR% over his last 36 rounds, 8th in SG: APP, 10th in Bogey Avoidance and 15th in Good Drive Percentage with a combined club choice off the tee.


The putter has actually cooled down a bit, which is really the primary issue, however if that even returns to average, the rest of his game is in a solid area for a course like Copperhead.


With the Masters around the corner, Spaun could use a strong showing, and this seems like one of the much better chances for him to put it together.


Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )


How could I not return to Corey Conners for a 3rd straight week? The Canadian treated us well at THE PLAYERS. Not just did he hold the lead for a stretch, but he eventually cashed us a Leading 20 (+168) ticket with a T-13 surface at TPC Sawgrass.


I had him rated highly in my model recently, and the same is happening once again for the Valspar Championship. He completed T-8 in 2015 at this occasion and in total has 12 rounds at Innisbrook, posting a Real SG mark of +1.63.


Conners ranks 2nd in Bogey Avoidance at hard scoring courses, 4th in SG: APP and 6th in Birdie or Better Percentage. He's been very accurate off the tee with a mixed club choice, he's striking greens in guideline at a high rate (second) and has actually done a great task making the most of Par 5s.


What hasn't been as strong is the putter, in addition to his play around the green and on more tough Par threes. Still, he was able to get rid of that recently. In a weaker field he might definitely do it again and in fact win this thing.


Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )


This male has actually been a popular wagering selection this season, and for excellent factor.


The 25-year-old hasn't ended up even worse than T-27, which came recently at THE PLAYERS. His finest finishes include a T-3 at the Phoenix Open and a T-6 at the Cognizant Classic.


Hojgaard's irons have actually been called in, the putter has been strong and he ranks first in SG: Par 3 over the past number of seasons on average-to-difficult Par 3s.


He'll require to remain constant off the tee and be a bit sharper around the green, however if he can do that, there's no reason he can't find himself near the top of the leaderboard once again and perhaps even break through for his very first PGA Tour win.


Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )


Ryo Hisatsune finished T-4 at this occasion in 2015, and the season prior he posted a T-33. In total, he's acquired +1.68 strokes per round at Innisbrook.


What's even more persuading is his present kind. He's missed simply one cut in eight tournaments this season, and that was available in his first start of the year at the Sony Open.


His best outcomes include a T-2 at the Farmers, a T-8 at Pebble Beach and a T-13 finish recently at THE PLAYERS.


He ranks sixth in SG: TOT on similar tracks and is also 6th in GIR% over his last 36 rounds. He's also adding a 12th-place mark in Scrambling, 18th in Bogey Avoidance and 32nd in SG: PUTT on Poa Trivialis.


His iron play has taken an advance this season and if that continues, it might carry him even further at Innisbrook this time around


Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )


It's time for our dark-horse choice of the week, which comes from 27-year-old South Carolina native Mac Meissner.


It might be insane to back a gamer coming off back-to-back missed out on cuts, but with him ranking 6th overall in my model this week, he's hard to overlook.


Meissner ranks first in Bogey Avoidance, second in Scrambling and seventh in SG: APP at hard courses comparable to Copperhead.


He's also carried out well here, completing T-26 in 2024 and T-28 in 2025, posting a Real SG mark of +1.05.


I think Meissner's got some worth this week. I'll happily lay -108 for a Top 40, and hope we're also sweating a 90/1 outright ticket come Sunday.


Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 ).
Taylor Pendrith Top 30 Finish (+100 )


Something about those Canadians today, eh? My model is high up on our buddies from the Great White North, and I do not wish to lose out on wagering them to finish Top 30.


I do not believe they have enough to win this tournament outright, however I think they'll stay competitive for all four days.


Taylor hasn't missed a cut this season, and his play around the green can bring him through the week.


Meanwhile, Pendrith is appearing 10th in my design.


So let's include these 2 golfers to the card also, but simply with their Top 30 wagers.


Brooks Koepka: To Win (27/1)|Top 30 (-125 ). Spaun: To Win (34/1)|Top 30 (-124 )
Corey Conners: To Win (35/1)|Top 30 (-120 )
Nicolai Hojgaard: To Win (38/1)|Top 30 (-106 )
Ryo Hisatsune: To Win (39/1)|Top 30 (-102 )
Mac Meissner: To Win (90/1)|Top 40 (-108 )
Nick Taylor Top 30 Finish (-114 )
Taylor Pendrith Top 3o Finish (+100 )